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The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has projected that the National Democratic Congress has a better chance of winning the 2024 general elections.
According to the EIU, the opposition party must revitalise its prospects with a fresh candidate over former President John Dramani Mahama.
EIU made this revelation in their five-year forecast for Ghana which was released on April 13, 2022.
The former President John Mahama has led the NDC into two unsuccessfully elections in 2016 and 2020.
However, he’s expected to lead the party come 2024 to unseat the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) government.
Meanwhile, former Finance Minister, Dr Kwabena Duffuor is also said to be lacing his boot to contest Mr. Mahama in the NDC’s flagbearership position.
But to the London-based organisation, their research findings indicates that the NDC can revitalise this prospect of victory with a fresh presidential candidate.
“The next parliamentary and presidential elections are due in 2024. Under constitutionally mandated term limits, Mr Akufo-Addo, cannot run for a third term. Mr. Mahama, is reportedly considering whether to run again, but we expect the NDC to seek to revitalise its prospects with a fresh candidate,” the report said.
They added that “We expect the NDC to win the 2024 presidential election and to gain a small majority in parliament.”
The EIU is also of the believe that the challenges such as, unemployment, economic downturn, and corruption among others facing the government will fuel citizens’ sentiments against the ruling NPP administration.
“Our baseline forecast is that ongoing public dissatisfaction with the slow pace of improvements in governance—such as infrastructure development, job creation and easing of corruption—will trigger anti-incumbency factors and push the electorate to seek a change. The NDC, therefore, stands a reasonable chance of winning the 2024 elections” EIU said.
The Economic Intelligence Unit also highlighted that they expect the country’s underlying political stability to endure over the forecast period despite a high acrimonious party-political landscape.
They maintained that the fierce rivalry between the two political parties, the NPP and the NDC, will remain the core feature of the political scene.
